Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.018029 0.022775 0.029104 0.038468 0.052558 0.074073 0.111989
2025-01-05 0.012109 0.016765 0.023902 0.036499 0.060461 0.110670 0.252936
2025-01-12 0.009458 0.013830 0.021134 0.035636 0.068435 0.158488 0.587924
2025-01-19 0.008240 0.012633 0.020557 0.038141 0.085676 0.265711 2.317230
2025-01-26 0.007539 0.012066 0.020836 0.042549 0.113692 0.521780 46.535236
2025-02-02 0.006981 0.011592 0.021102 0.047156 0.150964 1.163872 NaN
2025-02-09 0.006257 0.010632 0.020021 0.047535 0.173781 2.186410 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005683 0.009852 0.019126 0.048033 0.200430 4.757164 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005185 0.009141 0.018203 0.047993 0.226396 12.102497 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004649 0.008266 0.016678 0.045117 0.227840 22.513674 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004258 0.007649 0.015687 0.043824 0.241902 75.376701 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004021 0.007335 0.015415 0.045252 0.288850 116967.433311 NaN
2025-03-23 0.003722 0.006890 0.014827 0.045719 0.341012 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003368 0.006280 0.013672 0.043218 0.350432 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.003103 0.005839 0.012902 0.042129 0.382904 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002977 0.005703 0.012983 0.045295 0.531338 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002906 0.005687 0.013424 0.050914 0.867139 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002833 0.005655 0.013807 0.056846 1.505227 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002679 0.005396 0.013385 0.057336 1.946998 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002543 0.005166 0.013014 0.057981 2.596454 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002411 0.004933 0.012584 0.057929 3.359396 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002248 0.004601 0.011749 0.054213 3.207068 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002123 0.004361 0.011204 0.052550 3.580906 NaN NaN